2012-02-27

oscar win

Cherry Blossom Picking!

It's time once again for me to make my Oscar predictions based on no foreknowledge other that an uncanny knack at guessing wrongly. Click the label at the bottom of this entry entitled "Oscar" or "Academy Awards" to see any of my past entries, such as last year's.

You can pick your own nominees here. This is really the first time that I've looked at the list of nominees and a few things really stand out: (1)I have seen fewer nominated movies this year than in any of my previous Oscar Picks! (2)Only two songs this year! (3)Huh? Both Harry Potter: 7.5 and Transformers: Pink Floyd & the Dark Side of the Moon got 3 nominations and neither Thor nor Captain America received any! (And based on the undoubtedly fixed choices at that link, Transformers will win two of them!) (4)No Disney/Pixar nominations! (5)Billy Crystal is back as host! That is good news but how will he compare to this guy?


Since I have seen a total of 4 of the above (3 of those in the Visual FX category), I have my doubts whether I'll be very accurate this time round.

Ya know, I don't really care who wins what provided that
The Tsunami and the Cherry Blossom wins for Best Documentary – Short Subject!


As per previous years, my rules are as follows: I will put my desired win in bold and what I think will win in italics or both if they overlap.
Starting at the bottom of the Wiki page, we have:
Best Visual Effects
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows – Part 2 –
Hugo
Real Steel
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Transformers: Dark of the Moon
Since this is the only category in which I have actually seen some of the entries, I can state with absolute certainty that my choice would be RotPotA. "Real Steel" was cute and "Harry Potter" was gripping at times (I hadn't seen any of the "HPs" between 4 & 7) but Apes was amazing! The segue between live action/cgi was seamless. When is Andy Serkis going to recognized for his outstanding work?
But the nod will probably go to Hugo. If it goes to Transformers, I will just barf!

Best Film Editing
The Artist
The Descendants
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
Moneyball
I haven't seen any of these (that'll be a common theme today) so I will forego the sarcasm for the majority of categories and just skip to the choices. No idea so...I want Hugo; maybe Dragon Tattoo will win.

Best Costume Design
Anonymous
The Artist
Hugo
Jane Eyre
W.E.
My biggest who cares category!

Best Makeup
Albert Nobbs
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows – Part 2 –
The Iron Lady
Remember when Makeup used to go to creatures and now it just goes to someone made up to look older or like another extant person?

Best Cinematography
The Artist – Guillaume Schiffman
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo – Jeff Cronenweth
Hugo – Robert Richardson
The Tree of Life – Emmanuel Lubezki
War Horse – Janusz Kamiński
I hope to see both Hugo and War Horse this week so then I can judge better, but on a hunch, I'll vote Hugo and they'll vote War Horse.

Best Art Direction
The Artist – Laurence Bennett and Robert Gould
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows – Part 2 – Stuart Craig and Stephanie McMillan
Hugo – Dante Ferretti and Francesca Lo Schiavo
Midnight in Paris – Anne Seibel and Hélène Dubreuil
War Horse – Rick Carter and Lee Sandales
See above!

Best Sound Mixing
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
Moneyball
Transformers: Dark of the Moon
War Horse
Who knows? Since a fellow Canadian, David Giammarco for “Moneyball” is nominated, I suppose he gets my vote.

Best Sound Editing
Drive
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
Transformers: Dark of the Moon
War Horse
Since David Giammarco didn't get nominated twice and all the other movies did, I want to make a soundbite for "Drive" because I really like its Director, Albert Brooks and I'd like to see it win something.

Best Original Song
"Man or Muppet" from The Muppets
"Real in Rio" from Rio
These two songs both suck royally. On general principle I was going to vote for "Muppets" but it sucks more than Rio! If these are the songs that made the cut, I can only imagine how horrible the others must be!


Best Original Score
The Adventures of Tintin – John Williams
The Artist – Ludovic Bource
Hugo – Howard Shore
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy – Alberto Iglesias
War Horse – John Williams
The only other movie of all those nominated that I've seen is "Tintin" and I felt that it was the best Score that Williams has done in ages, therefore it has to get my nod. On the other hand, Howard Shore is Canadian, so I wouldn't mind if the Academy gives an Oscar to him.

Best Animated Short Film
Dimanche
The Fantastic Flying Books of Mr. Morris Lessmore
La Luna
A Morning Stroll
Wild Life
Both Dimanche and Wild Life are Canadian so I simply must vote for one of them. But the guys who penned Wild Life are from Calgary, a city I don't like, therefore Dimanche! Judge for yourself:




Best Documentary – Short Subject
The Barber of Birmingham: Foot Soldier of the Civil Rights Movement
God Is the Bigger Elvis
Incident in New Baghdad
Saving Face
The Tsunami and the Cherry Blossom – Lucy Walker and Kira Carstensen
You already know my opinion on this one, I only hope that the Academy agrees with me.

Best Documentary – Feature
Hell and Back Again
If a Tree Falls: A Story of the Earth Liberation Front
Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory – Joe Berlinger and Bruce Sinofsky
Pina
Undefeated
Even though I didn't see the previous two Paradise Lost movies, I'll vote for the third in the trilogy. As for the Academy...? Pina has Wim Winders, and he's the only person I've heard of.

Best Live Action Short Film
Pentecost
Raju
The Shore
Time Freak
Tuba Atlantic
Who knows? Time Freak has a freaky title, so that's for me!

Best Foreign Language Film
Bullhead (Belgium) in Dutch and French
Footnote (Israel) in Hebrew
In Darkness (Poland) in Polish – Agnieszka Holland
Monsieur Lazhar (Canada) in French
A Separation (Iran) in Farsi – Asghar Farhadi
I did a lesson today about all the Canadian nominees so I could go for "Monsieur Lazhar" but since In Darkness is a co-Canadian production, I'd rather vote for it. Cool stuff about living in the sewers during WWII. The Twittering voices are all atwitter about "A Separation", so who am I to deny the masses?

Best Animated Feature
A Cat in Paris
Chico and Rita
Kung Fu Panda 2
Puss in Boots
Rango
I really wanted to see "Rango" but it was only shown here in Japanese. Of course since "Tintin" isn't really animation due to some bizarre rule, it doesn't qualify. My choice therefore is コクリコ坂から,予告編. What it isn't nominated! Okay, back to Rango.


Okay, now we're getting to the good stuff, none of which I have any insight but speculation...

Best Writing – Adapted Screenplay
The Descendants – Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon, and Jim Rash from The Descendants by Kaui Hart Hemmings
Hugo – John Logan from The Invention of Hugo Cabret by Brian Selznick
The Ides of March – George Clooney, Grant Heslov, and Beau Willimon from Farragut North by Beau Willimon
Moneyball – Screenplay by Steven Zaillian and Aaron Sorkin; Story by Stan Chervin from Moneyball by Michael Lewis
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy – Bridget O'Connor and Peter Straughan from Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy by John le Carré
In Grade 8, I was the Soothsayer in "Julius Caesar" and I uttered the line "Beware The Ides of March" therefore that gets my vote. Or Hugo, either one is okay by me.

Best Writing – Original Screenplay
The Artist – Michel Hazanavicius
Bridesmaids – Kristen Wiig and Annie Mumolo
Margin Call – J.C. Chandor
Midnight in Paris – Woody Allen
A Separation – Asghar Farhadi
I hear that Woody was back in good form with this one, though I do wish he'd return to New York and become funny again. A Separation will win because it's Farsical.

Best Supporting Actress
Bérénice Bejo – The Artist as Peppy Miller
Jessica Chastain – The Help as Celia Foote
Melissa McCarthy – Bridesmaids as Megan Price
Janet McTeer – Albert Nobbs as Hubert Page
Octavia Spencer – The Help as Minny Jackson
I liked Melissa in that sitcom she did with Christina Applegate. The Academy is all Help crazy, so it's Octavia all the way.


Best Supporting Actor
Kenneth Branagh – My Week with Marilyn as Laurence Olivier
Jonah Hill – Moneyball as Peter Brand
Nick Nolte – Warrior as Paddy Conlon
Christopher Plummer – Beginners as Hal Fields
Max von Sydow – Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close as The Renter
Christopher Plummer all the way!

Best Actress
Glenn Close – Albert Nobbs as Albert Nobbs
Viola Davis – The Help as Aibileen Clark
Rooney Mara – The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo as Lisbeth Salander
Meryl Streep – The Iron Lady as Margaret Thatcher
Michelle Williams – My Week with Marilyn as Marilyn Monroe
Meryl as Maggie, say no more.

Best Actor
Demián Bichir – A Better Life as Carlos Galindo
George Clooney – The Descendants as Matt King
Jean Dujardin – The Artist as George Valentin
Gary Oldman – Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy as George Smiley
Brad Pitt – Moneyball as Billy Beane
I gotta go with Gary, it's about time he won something (since he won't be nominated as Commissioner Gordon.) I'm not sure who the popular vote would be but lets go on a limb with Brad!

Best Director
Woody Allen – Midnight in Paris
Michel Hazanavicius – The Artist
Terrence Malick – The Tree of Life
Alexander Payne – The Descendants
Martin Scorsese – Hugo
Another shoulder shrug so I'll go Hugo, they'll go The Artist.

Best Picture
The Artist – Thomas Langmann
The Descendants – Jim Burke, Jim Taylor, and Alexander Payne
Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close – Scott Rudin
The Help – Brunson Green, Chris Columbus, and Michael Barnathan
Hugo – Graham King and Martin Scorsese
Midnight in Paris – Letty Aronson and Stephen Tenenbaum
Moneyball – Michael De Luca, Rachael Horovitz, and Brad Pitt
The Tree of Life – Dede Gardner, Sarah Green, Grant Hill, and Bill Pohlad
War Horse – Steven Spielberg and Kathleen Kennedy
Once more on a limb with Hugo but I really think that the Academy is going to go for The Help.

Let's see how I fared tomorrow!

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